A sales representative makes 6 cold calls in a day. The probability of successfully making a sale on any given call is 40%. Find the probability of making a sale on all 6 calls.
Table of contents
- 1. Introduction to Statistics53m
- 2. Describing Data with Tables and Graphs2h 1m
- 3. Describing Data Numerically2h 8m
- 4. Probability2h 26m
- 5. Binomial Distribution & Discrete Random Variables3h 28m
- 6. Normal Distribution & Continuous Random Variables2h 21m
- 7. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Mean3h 37m
- Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean and Central Limit Theorem19m
- Distribution of Sample Mean - Excel23m
- Introduction to Confidence Intervals22m
- Confidence Intervals for Population Mean1h 26m
- Determining the Minimum Sample Size Required12m
- Finding Probabilities and T Critical Values - Excel28m
- Confidence Intervals for Population Means - Excel25m
- 8. Sampling Distributions & Confidence Intervals: Proportion1h 33m
- 9. Hypothesis Testing for One Sample3h 32m
- 10. Hypothesis Testing for Two Samples4h 49m
- Two Proportions1h 12m
- Two Proportions Hypothesis Test - Excel28m
- Two Means - Unknown, Unequal Variance1h 2m
- Two Means - Unknown Variances Hypothesis Test - Excel12m
- Two Means - Unknown, Equal Variance15m
- Two Means - Unknown, Equal Variances Hypothesis Test - Excel9m
- Two Means - Known Variance12m
- Two Means - Sigma Known Hypothesis Test - Excel21m
- Two Means - Matched Pairs (Dependent Samples)42m
- Matched Pairs Hypothesis Test - Excel12m
- 11. Correlation1h 24m
- 12. Regression1h 59m
- 13. Chi-Square Tests & Goodness of Fit2h 31m
- 14. ANOVA2h 1m
5. Binomial Distribution & Discrete Random Variables
Binomial Distribution
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Join thousands of students who trust us to help them ace their exams!Watch the first videoMultiple Choice
A biologist is monitoring a large bird sanctuary where a particular bird species is known to have a 70% success rate for each nesting attempt (at least one chick fledges from the nest). This season, she observes 500 independent nesting attempts across the sanctuary.
(A) What is the probability that exactly 450 nesting attempts are successful?
A
3.54×10−78
B
0.70
C
3.3×10−27
D
1
Verified step by step guidance1
Step 1: Recognize that this is a binomial probability problem. The binomial distribution is used when there are a fixed number of independent trials (n), each with two possible outcomes (success or failure), and a constant probability of success (p). Here, n = 500, p = 0.7, and we are looking for the probability of exactly 450 successes.
Step 2: Use the binomial probability formula: P(X = k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k). Here, X is the random variable representing the number of successes, k is the desired number of successes (450), n is the total number of trials (500), and p is the probability of success (0.7).
Step 3: Calculate the binomial coefficient (n choose k), which is given by the formula: (n choose k) = n! / [k! * (n-k)!]. Substitute n = 500 and k = 450 into this formula.
Step 4: Substitute the values into the binomial probability formula. Raise p (0.7) to the power of k (450) and (1-p) (0.3) to the power of (n-k) (50). Multiply these results by the binomial coefficient calculated in Step 3.
Step 5: Use a calculator or statistical software to compute the final probability value. Note that due to the large numbers involved, it is often more practical to use logarithms or software to handle the calculations efficiently.
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