Estimates vs. Hypothesis Tests Labels on cans of Dr. Pepper soda indicate that they contain 12 oz of the drink. We could collect samples of those cans and accurately measure the actual contents, then we could use methods of Section 7-2 for making an estimate of the mean amount of Dr. Pepper in cans, or we could use those measured amounts to test the claim that the cans contain a mean of 12 oz. What is the difference between estimating the mean and testing a hypothesis about the mean?

Lightning Deaths Listed below are the numbers of deaths from lightning strikes in the United States each year for a sequence of recent and consecutive years. Find the values of the indicated statistics.

46 51 44 51 43 32 38 48 45 27 34 29 26 28 23 26 28 40 16 20

f. What important feature of the data is not revealed from an examination of the statistics, and what tool would be helpful in revealing it? What does a quick examination of the data reveal?

Discarded Plastic

What distribution is used for the hypothesis test described in Exercise 1?

For the hypothesis test described in Exercise 1, is it necessary to determine whether the 62 weights appear to be from a population having a normal distribution? Why or why not?

Discarded Plastic Data Set 42 “Garbage Weight” includes weights (pounds) of discarded plastic from 62 different households. Those 62 weights have a mean of 1.911 pounds and a standard deviation of 1.065 pounds. We want to use a 0.05 level of significance to test the claim that this sample is from a population with a mean less than 2.000 pounds. Identify the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis.

Robust Explain what is meant by the statements that the t test for a claim about μ is robust, but the (chi)^2 test for a claim about σ is not robust.

Discarded Plastic Find the test statistic used for the hypothesis test described in Exercise 1.

Discarded Plastic The P-value for the hypothesis test described in Exercise 1 is 0.2565.

What should be concluded about the null hypothesis?

What is the final conclusion that addresses the original claim?

Lightning Deaths The graph in Cumulative Review Exercise 5 was created by using data consisting of 242 male deaths from lightning strikes and 64 female deaths from lightning strikes. Assume that these data are randomly selected lightning deaths and proceed to test the claim that the proportion of male deaths is greater than . Use a 0.01 significance level. Any explanation for the result?

Hypothesis Test for Lightning Deaths Refer to the sample data given in Cumulative Review Exercise 1 and consider those data to be a random sample of annual lightning deaths from recent years. Use those data with a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the mean number of annual lightning deaths is less than the mean of 72.6 deaths from the 1980s. If the mean is now lower than in the past, identify one of the several factors that could explain the decline.

Type I Error and Type II Error

a. In general, what is a type I error? In general, what is a type II error?

Perception and Reality In a presidential election, 308 out of 611 voters surveyed said that they voted for the candidate who won (based on data from ICR Survey Research Group). Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that among all voters, the percentage who believe that they voted for the winning candidate is equal to 43%, which is the actual percentage of votes for the winning candidate. What does the result suggest about voter perceptions?

Job Search A Gallup poll of 195,600 employees showed that 51% of them were actively searching for new jobs. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the majority of employees are searching for new jobs

Identifying H0 and H1

In Exercises 5–8, do the following:

a. Express the original claim in symbolic form.

b. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses.

Systolic Blood Pressure Claim: Healthy adults have systolic blood pressure levels with a standard deviation greater than 5 mm Hg. Sample data: Data Set 1 “Body Data” in Appendix B shows that for 300 healthy adults, the systolic blood pressure amounts have a standard deviation of 15.85 mm Hg.

Statistical Literacy and Critical Thinking

In Exercises 1–4, use the results from a Hankook Tire Gauge Index survey of a simple random sample of 1020 adults. Among the 1020 respondents, 86% rated themselves as above average drivers. We want to test the claim that more than 3/4 of adults rate themselves as above average drivers.

Null and Alternative Hypotheses and Test Statistic

a. Identify the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis.

Finding Critical Values

In Exercises 17–20, refer to the information in the given exercise and use a 0.05 significance level for the following.

a. Find the critical value(s).

b. Should we reject H0 or should we fail to reject H0?

Exercise 16

Claim of “At Least” or “At Most”

How do the following results change?

a. Chapter Problem claim is changed to this: “At least 50% of Internet users utilize two-factor authentication to protect their online data.”

Using Confidence Intervals to Test Hypotheses When analyzing the last digits of telephone numbers in Port Jefferson, it is found that among 1000 randomly selected digits, 119 are zeros. If the digits are randomly selected, the proportion of zeros should be 0.1.

a. Use the critical value method with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1.

Finding Critical Values

In Exercises 17–20, refer to the information in the given exercise and use a 0.05 significance level for the following.

a. Find the critical value(s).

b. Should we reject H0 or should we fail to reject H0?

Exercise 15

Identifying H0 and H1

In Exercises 5–8, do the following:

a. Express the original claim in symbolic form.

b. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses.

Light Year Claim: Most adults know that a light year is a measure of distance. Sample data: A Pew Research Center survey of 3278 adults showed that 72% knew that a light year is a measure of distance.

Statistical Literacy and Critical Thinking

In Exercises 1–4, use the results from a Hankook Tire Gauge Index survey of a simple random sample of 1020 adults. Among the 1020 respondents, 86% rated themselves as above average drivers. We want to test the claim that more than 3/4 of adults rate themselves as above average drivers.

Number and Proportions

a. Identify the actual number of respondents who rated themselves as above average drivers.

At Least As Extreme A random sample of 860 births in New York State included 426 boys, and that sample is to be used for a test of the common belief that the proportion of male births in the population is equal to 0.512.

a. In testing the common belief that the proportion of male babies is equal to 0.512, identify the values of p^ and p.

RESAMPLING

a. In general, what does it mean to “resample” the following data set consisting of wait times (minutes) of customers waiting in line for the Space Mountain ride at Walt Disney World: 50, 25, 75, 35, 50?

Statistical Literacy and Critical Thinking

In Exercises 1–4, use the results from a Hankook Tire Gauge Index survey of a simple random sample of 1020 adults. Among the 1020 respondents, 86% rated themselves as above average drivers. We want to test the claim that more than 3/4 of adults rate themselves as above average drivers.

Null and Alternative Hypotheses and Test Statistic

b. Find the value of the test statistic.

Using Confidence Intervals to Test Hypotheses When analyzing the last digits of telephone numbers in Port Jefferson, it is found that among 1000 randomly selected digits, 119 are zeros. If the digits are randomly selected, the proportion of zeros should be 0.1.

b. Use the P-value method with a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the proportion of zeros equals 0.1.

At Least As Extreme A random sample of 860 births in New York State included 426 boys, and that sample is to be used for a test of the common belief that the proportion of male births in the population is equal to 0.512.

b. For random samples of size 860, what sample proportions of male births are at least as extreme as the sample proportion of 426/860?

Statistical Literacy and Critical Thinking

In Exercises 1–4, use the results from a Hankook Tire Gauge Index survey of a simple random sample of 1020 adults. Among the 1020 respondents, 86% rated themselves as above average drivers. We want to test the claim that more than 3/4 of adults rate themselves as above average drivers.

Number and Proportions

b. Identify the sample proportion and use the symbol that represents it.

Lightning Deaths Listed below are the numbers of deaths from lightning strikes in the United States each year for a sequence of recent and consecutive years. Find the values of the indicated statistics.

46 51 44 51 43 32 38 48 45 27 34 29 26 28 23 26 28 40 16 20

d. Variance

Lightning Deaths Listed below are the numbers of deaths from lightning strikes in the United States each year for a sequence of recent and consecutive years. Find the values of the indicated statistics.

46 51 44 51 43 32 38 48 45 27 34 29 26 28 23 26 28 40 16 20

e. Range

RESAMPLING

c. When testing a claim about a proportion or mean or standard deviation, what is an important advantage of using a resampling method instead of the parametric method described in the preceding sections of this chapter?

Lightning Deaths Based on the results given in Cumulative Review Exercise 6, assume that for a randomly selected lightning death, there is a 0.8 probability that the victim is a male.

a. Find the probability that three random people killed by lightning strikes are all males.