9. Hypothesis Testing for One Sample

A candy manufacturer seeking to minimize the variation in weights of their candies claims to produce candies with a standard deviation less than $0.300$ g. Write the null and alternative hypotheses.

A survey claimed that $30\%$ of adults prefer electric cars over traditional cars. A car manufacturer believes the true proportion is higher than $30\%$. To test this, they survey a random sample of $50$ adults and find that $19$ say they prefer electric cars. Determine which test statistic to use & calculate it.

Determine whether the hypothesis test is left-tailed, right-tailed, or two-tailed.

$H_0:$ $p=0.4$

$H_a:$ $p\ne 0.4$

In a certain hypothesis test, $H_0:p=0.4$, $H_a:p$ < $0.4$. You collect a sample and calculate a test statistic $z=-1.32$. Find the $P$-value.

Stem Cell Survey In a Newsweek poll of 882 adults, 481 (or 55%) said that they were in favor of using federal tax money to fund medical research using stem cells obtained from human embryos. A politician claims that people don’t really understand the stem cell issue and their responses to such questions are random responses equivalent to a coin toss. Use the following probabilities related to determining whether the result of 481 is significantly high (assuming the true rate is 50%). Is 481 significantly high? What should be concluded about the politician’s claim? Explain.

P(respondent says to use the federal tax money) = 0.5

P(among 882, exactly 481 says to use federal tax money) = 0.000713

P(among 882,481 or more say to use federal tax money) = 0.00389

Final Conclusions

In Exercises 21–24, use a significance level of α = 0.05 and use the given information for the following:

State a conclusion about the null hypothesis. (Reject H0 or fail to reject H0.)

Without using technical terms or symbols, state a final conclusion that addresses the original claim

Original claim: More than 35% of air travelers would choose another airline to have access to inflight Wi-Fi. The hypothesis test results in a P-value of 0.00001.

Final Conclusions

In Exercises 21–24, use a significance level of α = 0.05 and use the given information for the following:

State a conclusion about the null hypothesis. (Reject H0 or fail to reject H0.)

Without using technical terms or symbols, state a final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Original claim: The mean pulse rate (in beats per minute) of adult males is 72 bpm. The hypothesis test results in a P-value of 0.0095.

Type I and Type II Errors

In Exercises 25–28, provide statements that identify the type I error and the type II error that correspond to the given claim. (Although conclusions are usually expressed in verbal form, the answers here can be expressed with statements that include symbolic expressions such as p = 0.1.)

The proportion of people who write with their left hand is equal to 0.1.

Type I and Type II Errors

In Exercises 25–28, provide statements that identify the type I error and the type II error that correspond to the given claim. (Although conclusions are usually expressed in verbal form, the answers here can be expressed with statements that include symbolic expressions such as p = 0.1.)

The proportion of drivers who make angry gestures is greater than 0.25.

Interpreting Power Chantix (varenicline) tablets are used as an aid to help people stop smoking. In a clinical trial, 129 subjects were treated with Chantix twice a day for 12 weeks, and 16 subjects experienced abdominal pain (based on data from Pfizer, Inc.). If someone claims that more than 8% of Chantix users experience abdominal pain, that claim is supported with a hypothesis test conducted with a 0.05 significance level. Using 0.18 as an alternative value of p, the power of the test is 0.96. Interpret this value of the power of the test.

Testing Claims About Proportions

In Exercises 9–32, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value, or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use the P-value method unless your instructor specifies otherwise. Use the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution, as described in Part 1 of this section.

Medical Malpractice In a study of 1228 randomly selected medical malpractice lawsuits, it was found that 856 of them were dropped or dismissed (based on data from the Physicians Insurers Association of America). Use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that most medical malpractice lawsuits are dropped or dismissed. Should this be comforting to physicians?

Identifying H0 and H1

In Exercises 5–8, do the following:

a. Express the original claim in symbolic form.

b. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses.

Light Year Claim: Most adults know that a light year is a measure of distance. Sample data: A Pew Research Center survey of 3278 adults showed that 72% knew that a light year is a measure of distance.

Identifying H0 and H1

In Exercises 5–8, do the following:

a. Express the original claim in symbolic form.

b. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses.

Systolic Blood Pressure Claim: Healthy adults have systolic blood pressure levels with a standard deviation greater than 5 mm Hg. Sample data: Data Set 1 “Body Data” in Appendix B shows that for 300 healthy adults, the systolic blood pressure amounts have a standard deviation of 15.85 mm Hg.

Statistical Literacy and Critical Thinking

In Exercises 1–4, use the results from a Hankook Tire Gauge Index survey of a simple random sample of 1020 adults. Among the 1020 respondents, 86% rated themselves as above average drivers. We want to test the claim that more than 3/4 of adults rate themselves as above average drivers.

Number and Proportions

b. Identify the sample proportion and use the symbol that represents it.

Statistical Literacy and Critical Thinking

In Exercises 1–4, use the results from a Hankook Tire Gauge Index survey of a simple random sample of 1020 adults. Among the 1020 respondents, 86% rated themselves as above average drivers. We want to test the claim that more than 3/4 of adults rate themselves as above average drivers.

Number and Proportions

c. For the hypothesis test, identify the value used for the population proportion and use the symbol that represents it.