The dynamic Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply (ADAS) model provides a framework for understanding how fiscal policy can influence economic performance over time. In this model, it is essential to recognize that the economy generally experiences growth, leading to a rightward shift in long-run aggregate supply, short-run aggregate supply, and aggregate demand. This growth reflects the natural progression of the economy, where real GDP tends to increase year over year.
When the economy is in a recession, real GDP falls below its potential GDP, indicating underutilization of resources. In such scenarios, the government can implement expansionary fiscal policy to stimulate economic activity. This can be achieved through increased government spending or tax cuts. By boosting government expenditures, aggregate demand rises, as government purchases are a component of aggregate demand. Similarly, tax reductions enhance consumer spending, further elevating aggregate demand.
In the dynamic ADAS model, the initial equilibrium is characterized by a specific price level and real GDP. As the government enacts expansionary fiscal policy, the long-run aggregate supply shifts to the right, indicating an increase in potential GDP. However, during a recession, the increase in aggregate demand may not be sufficient to reach the new long-run equilibrium. This results in a short-run equilibrium where aggregate demand is still below potential GDP.
To visualize this, consider the initial equilibrium at point A, where the economy is not at full capacity. Following the implementation of expansionary fiscal policy, the short-run aggregate supply and aggregate demand curves shift rightward. If the government effectively stimulates demand, the economy can move towards a new equilibrium at point C, where all curves intersect, indicating that the economy has returned to its potential GDP.
Ultimately, the goal of fiscal policy in this context is to maintain economic stability by addressing recessions and inflationary pressures, ensuring that the economy operates at its full potential. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for analyzing the effectiveness of fiscal interventions in the economy.